汇市新闻

美联储梅斯特:短期政策仍宽松 今年可继续逐步加息

日期:2016-04-07
  4月6日美国克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特在克利夫兰商业经济协会发表演讲,就美国和地区经济前景作出分析预测。她表示,今年美国经济基本面保持稳健,美联储可以逐步提高短期利率,并警告如果不这么做,风险将滞后于美联储经济目标之后。梅斯特今年是联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)具有投票权的委员。
 
  货产品政策方面,梅斯特表示,政策没有落后于利率曲线,等待太久会有风险。预计并不需要更多宽松,2016年逐步退出宽松是合适的,缓慢加息可以抵御下行风险。且美联储就全球经济对美国的影响认知越来越高。
 
  梅斯特指出,无法说明下次可能加息的时间,同时强调,美联储不想仅仅映射市场预期的加息路径,并指出,市场对美联储今年不止加息一次的质疑不会影响美联储政策行动。
 
  对于美国经济,梅斯特的判断是,美国潜在的经济基本面相当强劲,预计今年经济会以2.25-2.5%的速率增长,略微高于长期趋势,但较其上次的预测有所下调。经济增长足以让就业进一步增加,失业率继续下降,而通胀将会继续朝向2%的目标发展。另外,美国经济将继续创造就业岗位。美国应更重视解决不平等,货产品政策无法解决。政府应该考虑采取措施缓和自由贸易的影响。
 
  梅斯特讲话后美股小幅走高,道指一度触及17681.11后回落,但依然维持涨势,最终收涨112.73点,涨幅0.64%,报17716.05点;标普500指数收涨21.49点,涨幅1.05%,报2066.66点;纳斯达克综合指数收涨76.78点,涨幅1.59%,报4920.71点。
 
  此前,EIA数据显示产品库存意外减少,利好油价,推动美股上涨;周三,美联储3月会议纪要显示,官员们对4月是否加息存分歧,数位委员指出4月不该加息,因为这会让市场误以为美联储急于加息,拖累经济的因素只会缓慢消失,因此加息应谨慎。有外媒称会议纪要表明4月加息概率很低,6月是可能的加息时点。
 
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