汇市新闻

欧白银未来数月将扩大宽松 但年底或考虑缩减QE

日期:2016-01-27
        德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)分析师周二(1月26日)表示,欧洲央行很可能在未来数月进一步放宽政策,但是放宽政策和开始讨论缩减量化宽松之间的间隔可能短于许多市场人士的预期。

  欧洲央行在今年1月的货产品政策会议上宣布维持隔夜存款利率在-0.30%不变,符合市场预期。随后央行行长德拉基(Mario Draghi)发出“强烈宽松信号”,引发欧元短线跳水。

  德拉基表示,有必要在下次3月份的会议上,评估并可能重新考虑欧洲央行的货产品政策立场。

  德意志银行欧洲经济学家Mark Wall表示,在12个月后,欧洲央行将研究未来两年的通胀预期,可以合理预期通胀率在1.8%至2.2%之间。过往纪录显示,欧洲央行在通胀预期达到1.9%或以上时,会收紧政策

  该行利率策略师Francis Yared表示,区内动能意味着欧洲央行管委会或在2016年底启动首次对话,同时市场开始关注从今年年底起的未来6个月至9个月期间缩减量化宽松的可能。届时,预期长期收益率曲线将下降,短期收益率仍将由于货产品政策而保持稳定。

  北京时间22:20,国际现货黄金报1110.66美元/盎司。 
 
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