汇市新闻

澳新货产品年底在外汇市场翻盘 抹去此前跌幅

日期:2015-12-31
        2015年来到尾声,一些交易员开始重新评估澳大利亚和新西兰两国的货产品政策,澳元和纽元在今年最后时刻从外汇市场的大输家变成了大赢家——本季度,澳元和纽元的涨幅在G10货产品中名列前茅,抹去了此前三个季度的跌幅。
 
  新西兰央行行长格雷姆·惠勒本月如分析师预期推出宽松政策,但暗示利率将维持在当前水平。而澳洲联储主席格伦·史蒂文斯连续第七个月维持利率不变。
 
  某分析师表示:“近期澳元的强劲表现受到了交易员重新评估澳洲联储宽松频率的影响。现在,分析师预计,澳洲联储在一段时间内不会降息,这与此前澳洲联储年内比降息的预期存在差异。而做空新西兰元的交易员也对惠勒的表态感到失望。”
 
  本月1日,澳洲联储宣布维持2%的利率不变,这是该行连续第七个月维持利率不变。澳洲联储当时指出,如果未来几个月的复苏迹象令人失望,则低通胀意味着央行有进一步调降指标利率的空间。“央行委员会再次得出这样的结论,即经济环境改善的前景在最近数月有所增强,表明维持利率不变是恰当举措,”史蒂文斯在声明中表示。
 
  澳洲联储表示,通胀率低位运行,应该会保持在低位。未来1-2年的通胀率将与目标一致。通胀前景最可能给予进一步放松政策的空间,货产品政策需要保持宽松。
 
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