汇市新闻

加元疲弱不堪 美/加将在1至3个月内升穿1.40

日期:2015-12-16
        西太平洋(601099,股吧)银行(Westpac)周二(12月15日)预计,接下来1至3个月内,美元/加元有望升至1.40上方。

        某分析师团队自1.3584入场持有美元/加元多头并上调了止损位。

        分析师们指出:“我们的模型显示,宏观和技术信号持续利好美元/加元多头。我们自1.3584处入场,并进一步收紧止损位。当前加元几无利多可言,其收益率明显急剧下降(过去几周,2年期收益率曲线下滑40个基点),且没有明显的底部。头寸规模亦对加元跌势构不成障碍,CFTC数据 显示加元空头尚未达到夏季峰值水平的一半。加拿大央行行长波洛兹继续采取“杯子半满”的方法,但随着贸易条件在2016年继续拖累经济复苏,其或将被迫重新评估经济和货产品政策。因此,接下来1至3个月内,美元/加元有望升至1.40上方。”

        该行对近期回调持谨慎态度,但同时表示该行外汇模型中的每个信号都指向加元将进一步走软。
 
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