汇市新闻

此次紧缩周期与以往不同 美元仍将上涨

日期:2015-11-19
大华银行集团分析师团队周三(11月18日)指出,上个交易日美元涨势看似有所消退,因投资者正审视渐行渐近的美联储紧缩周期,且可能在回顾美元走势之后发现“近期”的美联储紧缩周期中美元表现疲弱。
  尽管如此,大华银行依然认为美元仍偏向于上行,原因有二:一是美联储紧缩政策与欧洲潜在的进一步宽松预期形成对比,二是因为美国经济表现强劲。
  上世纪九十年代,美元的确表现疲弱,但这是因为当时欧洲比美国的紧缩步伐更加迅猛。而2004年紧缩周期中,美国的结构性位置明显较弱。
 
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