汇市新闻

中国经济趋缓对欧元区间接影响更大

日期:2015-11-05
欧洲央行(ECB)周三(11月4日)称,中国经济放缓通过贸易对欧元区增长的直接影响将会温和,但间接影响将较大。
 
欧洲央行在一份经济报告中称,“估测显示,中国实质GDP增长放缓1个百分点,直接和间接的贸易影响相对较小,相当于两到三年后欧元区经济活动下降约0.1-0.15个百分点。”
 
但欧洲央行亦警告,中国经济放缓将降低新兴市场经济增长,加剧全球不确定性,进而间接影响到欧元区家庭的信心,抑制消费和投资决定。
 
欧洲央行称,“另一个向欧元区传导负面冲击的可能渠道是信心效应,例如,信心受到冲击可能引发资本外流,导致新兴市场金融条件趋紧,以及欧元区的外部需求进一步放缓。”
 
其还称,资本外流还将导致中国人民产品贬值,从而拖累其它新兴货产品一道贬值。
 
 
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