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美联储会议纪要表明决策者仍处观望状态

日期:2015-10-09
    美联储(Fed)周四(10月8日)发布的9月会议记录显示,决策者认为接近有充份的理由支持美国升息,但决定谨慎行事,等看到全球经济放缓并未拖累美国经济脱离预设轨道的证明后再行动。
  会议记录称,决策者在9月16-17日会议上对全球经济放缓的迹象感到不安,但认为这并未导致美国经济前景发生“实质性改变”。但尽管如此,委员会决定谨慎行事,等待进一步信息前,部分是因考虑到经济活动前景和通胀面临的风险。
  国际顶级投行高盛(Goldman Sachs)经济学家Zach Pandl周四(10月8日)在一份研究报告中表示,美联储9月份会议纪要与政策声明和主席耶伦记者会释放的信息一致。
  高盛指出,会议纪要并未明确指明9月会议上两派观点“势均力敌”,也未表示会议决议是仔细权衡后的决定。
  另外,考虑到会议纪要中有关资产负债表正常化的讨论内容,高盛将再投资终止时间预期从2016年底推迟到了2017年中。
此前高盛纽约首席经济学家Jan Hatzius曾表示,因产出增速和就业可能放缓,美联储会将计划中的加息举措推迟至2016年,甚至更晚。
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