汇市新闻

人民产品冲击波连累日元套利交易 日银实现通胀目标的努力受阻

日期:2015-09-10
    周四(9月10日)知名外媒报道指出,中国市场重挫促使投资者解除以日元为融资货产品的套利交易,刺激日元走强,令日本央行(BOJ)为实现2%通胀目标所作的努力受阻。
  自中国央行8月11日意外采取人民产品大幅贬值举措之后,引发全球股市重挫,以日元借入资金投资于彭博-摩根大通亚洲货产品指数所跟踪的10种货产品的交易损失6.5%。德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)汇编的一个套利交易指数料遭遇2008年全球金融危机以来最糟糕的一年。
  与此同时,日元兑美元同期升值4%,美国大宗商品期货交易委员会的最新数据显示,投资者削减日元空头头寸的速度创下2007年来新高。由于能源价格下跌,日本消费物价2015年陷入停滞,日元升值将增加通胀所承受的下行压力。
  瑞银驻东京策略师井川雄亮表示,“当前不是大幅增加看空日元头寸的时机,即便投资者退出套利交易推高日元,日本央行急于扩大刺激措施的可能性依然很低。”
在中国经济增长放缓造成日本贸易逆差扩大,日经225指数抹掉今年以来涨幅后,日元走强增加了日本首相安本晋三落实其经济战略的难度。日本央行行长黑田东彦已经表示,央行可以通过现有规模的刺激措施来实现通胀目标,为加大宽松力度的预期泼冷水。
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