汇市新闻

英镑兑美元冲高回落 上涨势头被欧元牵制

日期:2015-07-14
    周一(7月13日)英镑兑美元冲高回落,日内汇价最高升至1.5587,最低跌至1.5492。英镑兑美元涨势受限,主要受到欧元大跌的牵制,此前希腊达成债务协议,投资者买预期卖事实,抛售欧元。
  周一英国无重要经济数据公布,也无重要事件及决策者讲话,这是导致英镑基本受欧元波动牵制的原因。在希腊与欧洲债权人就新的债务协议达成一致后,欧元全线下跌。
  交易商押注,该协议将意味着货产品政策差异会再度令欧元承压。欧洲央行在继续推进1万亿欧元的量化宽松(QE)购债计划,而美联储则进一步向升息靠拢。
  巴克莱外汇策略师说,“英债今日表现出色,甚至比美元还好,这令人有些意外,我们看到某种冒险举动,市场回到基本面题材是合理的,我们处于的环境,是美国可能在今年稍后升息,而如果要问美联储之后谁是下一个将会升息的主要央行,很可能会是英国央行。”
  英国央行上周维持利率在纪录低位0.5%不变,决策者努力想在英国薪资增速改善和全球经济出现更多不佳讯号之间做权衡。
  欧元区领导人经过在紧急峰会上的彻夜谈判,周一与希腊达成协议,将磋商第三轮救助方案以使该国留在欧元区。
  英国通胀数据将在周二公布,薪资增长数据将在周三出炉,这些数据可能带动英镑。英债市场价格大跌,和美债一起下滑,因在希腊达成债务协议后,投资者投向股市等较高风险资产。
技术上,英镑兑美元小时图中,汇价走势震荡偏多。技术指标MACD(12,26,9)主线和信号线在零轴上方,说明价格趋势偏多。相对强弱指标RSI(14)位于50均衡位置上方,说明价格短期力度偏多。技术上的走势表明,英镑兑美元汇价有望延续强势。
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