汇市新闻

欧/美强势攀升是受市场预期和实际货产品推动

日期:2015-07-01
经济学家周二(6月30日)对欧元汇率以及希腊公投结果做出了分析及预测,解释了近期欧元保持韧性的原因。
 
希腊周日的全民公投将会以多数支持债权人协议的结果结束。最后结果将是或者目前救援项目得到延长,或者签署新的救援项目。希腊问题将会延续,各方面接下来仍然将是希望未来发展会更好的态度。
 
尽管近期信息显示希腊问题出现不少风险因素,但是欧元/美元仍然表现出顽强韧性。周一跳空低开之后甚至一路反弹达到1.1280位置高点,随后温和回调。
 
市场对于希腊政府将会回到谈判桌的预期非常高,或者市场可能普遍认为希腊政府方面不能撑太久。如果全民公投结果与其推荐的方向相背,希腊政府则将在谈判桌上甚至国内政坛失去筹码。空头回补以及触及止损的现象不仅仅在欧元/美元市场,在欧元/英镑市场以及欧元/日元市场也同时大量存在,仅在欧元/美元市场中,这种现象就比平时多出一倍,而大部分此类交易都在上方结利出场。
 
实际货产品以及银行方面是目前市场价格波动的主要推动者,企业交易员也起到很重要的作用,而杠杆交易者们在目前的交易中并不是主要影响来源。
 
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