汇市新闻

耶伦讲话搅浑市场风向 欧元反弹有动机

日期:2015-05-07
  在各国央行政策调降货产品政策适应性至令人诧异的水平后,部分金融价格显得有些昂贵,市场未来可能充满颠簸及争论。
 
  隔夜美联储(FED)主席耶伦发出警告,她在接受小组讨论提问时警示了美股风险。耶伦周三(5月6日)在国际货产品基金组织(IMF)主持新经济思维研究所的金融与社会会议上发表讲话。
 
  耶伦周三警告称,在低利率环境下,股票与债券市场存在风险。她在与国际货产品基金组织(IMF)主席拉加德的会谈中表示,股市价值“普遍相当高,存在潜在的风险”。耶伦称,美联储也意识到,在美联储加息的时候,长期利率有可能突然大幅跃升。
 
  周二美股大幅收跌,标普500指数蒙受了6周来的最大单日跌幅。当天公布的贸易赤字数据疲软,表明美国的贸易赤字攀升至近7年来最大值。
 
  她已不是第一次提到股市估值“偏高”,她之后又提到债券收益率水平“很低”,当前位置可能“危险”,耶伦还警告说,当美联储未来加息时,债券收益率可能快速跳升。
 
  市场可能陷入“终极疑惑”,如何让加息周期不至于毁掉市场是一大问题,我们不希望在看到“退出”QE之前市场出现的巨幅震荡重现,但利率终究不会永远维持在极低水平,这将造成资产价格泡沫,形成剪不断理还乱的市场悖论。
 
  而在汇市世界中,当前欧美债券息差收窄,以及更高的波动性成为欧元空头平仓的动机,欧元也从2月的深幅下挫中恢复元气。行情也受到希腊局势缓和以及优于预期的欧元区PMI数据的提振
 
 
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