汇市新闻

英镑兑美元升至1.49上方 大选不确定性对英镑打压有限

日期:2015-04-22
    周二(4月21日)英镑美元走势震荡,目前汇价自日低回升1.49上方,日内汇价最低跌至1.4855,最高升至1.4954。
  英镑在上周走强,反映出对下月英国选举结果的疑虑可能有了一定的抵抗力。上周英镑兑美元录得约两年来表现最好的一周,英镑贸易加权指数劲升逾1%。
  尽管许多银行已经消化了5月7日大选前后几周英镑波动性将加大的预期,但英镑上周的表现削弱对选举前,以及选举后政党协商组建联合政府期间英镑将大幅下跌的观点。从目前的民调来看,组建联合政府是无法避免了。
  研究公司Lombard Street分析师Richard Batley说,“英国选举风险目前看来已完全被消化,英镑接近回归正常交投,特别是英镑兑欧元,我们这种观点最强烈。”
  Richard Batley指出,“投资者将更不太在意英国政治的不稳定性,因为英国经济目前是以稳定、消费主导成长,并不是由债务推动。对英国升息将远早于欧元区的预期将会持续。”
  技术上,英镑兑美元小时图中,汇价走势震荡。技术指标MACD(12,26,9)主线和信号线在零轴附近,说明价格走势震荡。相对强弱指标RSI(14)位于50均衡位置上方,说明价格力度偏多。技术上的走势表明,英镑兑美元汇价短期有望走高。
 
 
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