汇市新闻

欧元若站上1.0838初步阻力 将展开更大反弹

日期:2015-04-20
周一(4月20日)亚市盘初,欧元/美元位于1.0805附近水平徘徊。上周欧元也可谓绝地反弹,汇价连续4个交易日以阳线收涨,上周五最高触及1.0847,但之后于该水位下方展开较大幅度的震荡整理。
 
分析师指出,技术面来看,如果欧元/美元突破并站上1.0838初步阻力位,则将进一步展开更大反弹空间。
 
他指出,上周末消息面持续发酵,基本来自各个方面的。首先,欧洲央行(ECB)行长德拉基最新讲话指出“做空欧元毫无意义”,他指的是欧洲单一货产品的不可逆性。且其讲话令投机者措手不及,对本交易日汇价开盘走势产生一些影响,他们尤其考虑欧元一直拒绝被放弃。
  
其次,他指出,希腊财长瓦鲁法基斯(Yanis Varoufakis)在接受采访时表示,如果希腊债权人在接下来谈判中仍保持强硬立场,希腊政府走投无路,则很可能违约。这一消息一定程度上调和了德拉基讲话的影响。
  
最后,他说,上周末中国央行(PBOC)再次突袭大幅降准1个百分点,以试图提振银行业贷款增长,并应对经济增长放缓的局面。
  
上周欧元/美元反弹以阳线收涨,收复此前一周部分跌幅,周五汇价一度飙升至1.0847,因美国宏观经济数据普遍走软。技术图形显示欧元/美元于日图最新跌势的61.8%回撤位附近徘徊,汇价初步阻力位于1.0838。
  
4小时图上看,20期均线位于欧元/美元当前水位下方走高,当前切入位于1.0700,同时技术指标维持在积极区域内,暗示如果汇价站上1.0838初步阻力位,则将打开进一步反弹空间。而下行方面,如果欧元/美元跌破1.0775,则将否决短期上行之势。
 
 
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