汇市新闻

摩根士丹利:下调未来4个季度美/日及欧/美汇价预估

日期:2015-04-14
    摩根士丹利(MS)周一(4月13日)在报告中称,将美元/日元今年三季度末汇价预测由124下调至121,四季度末由127下调至123,2016年一季度末由126下调至122,因日元可能受益于日本薪资持续上涨而转强,同时还受助于日本央行(BOJ)此前有关政策紧缩的讨论。
  同时,摩根士丹利还将欧元/美元今年二季度末汇价预测由1.08下调至1.04,三季度末由1.06下调至1.03,四季度末由1.05下调至0.98,2016年一季度末由1.03下调至0.96。这是由于今年晚些时候低回报率和投资组合资金流出等结构性因素将会继续增强。同时套期保值活动和利用欧元作为融资货产品给欧元长期前景增加了负面因素。
  此外,摩根士丹利将美元/韩元今年二季度末预测由1210下调至1130,三季度末由1230下调至1155,四季度末由1230下调至1170,2016年第一季度末由1250下调至1185。美元/雷亚尔汇价预测二季度末由2.75上调至3.30,三季度末由2.85上调至3.45,四季度末由2.90上调至3.65,2016年第一季度末由3.00上调至3.70。
 
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