汇市新闻

受累于悲观的非农预期 美元或回落走远

日期:2015-04-03
周四(4月2日)纽约时段,美元指数震荡回落。日内指数自98.28,最低跌至97.33。美元指数走软,主要因为市场对周五公布的非农就业数据感到悲观。此前周三的美国ADP数据大幅疲软,增加了周五非农数据同样疲软的预期。
 
市场有传言称,即将于周五发布的美国非农就业数据将低于共识预期,大概在10降低20万的区间中段,市场共识预期为24.5万人。
 
日内公布的美国经济数据整体表现不错,但这些数据对市场影响有限。美国3月28日当周首次申请失业救济人数26.8万人,创十六年新低,预期28.6万人,前值28.8万人。
 
美国2月工厂订单月率0.2%,预期降低0.4%,前值降低0.7%。
 
美国2月贸易帐逆差354亿美元,逆差为逾五年新低,预期逆差412亿美元,前值逆差427亿美元。其中,2月进口2216.9 亿美元,前值2216.9亿美元。2月出口1862.5亿美元,前值2311.6亿美元。
 
技术上,美元指数小时图中,汇价走势震荡偏空。技术指标MACD(12,26,9)主线和信号线在零轴下方,说明价格趋势偏空。相对强弱指标RSI(14)位于50均衡位置下方,说明价格短期力度偏空。技术上的走势表明,美元指数有望回落走软。
 
 
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