汇市新闻

各方条件都利空欧元 预计2015年底跌至1.05

日期:2015-03-26
周四(3月26日)亚市盘初,欧元/美元位于1.0965附近水平徘徊。
 
  某著名外汇策略师表示,相信欧元/美元将进一步深跌,预计2015年底将跌至1.05。
 
他指出,因受到希腊问题的牵制,且欧元区经济基本面略微改善,但负利率政策又令欧元资金外流,加之美元依旧广泛稳定,2月份期间欧元/美元走势基本相对稳定。
 
他继续指出,至2月底,欧元/美元1个月隐含波动率已经下挫指向8%,10个交易日日均波动区间也收窄至100基点。
 
另外最新CFTC报告显示,欧元/美元头寸状况相对稳定,欧元净空头依旧较大,其他情绪指标依旧维持看跌。
 
他进一步指出,欧元/美元下行趋势维持完好,中期技术指标也显示看跌。
 
  随着欧洲央行(ECB)负利率政策和QE措施并行,而美联储(Fed)则仍偏向于年内升息,加之欧洲市场情绪消极,欧元资金外流,这些都暗示欧元/美元将进一步下跌,仍预计2015年底将跌至1.05。
    北京时间07:40,欧元/美元报1.0964/68。
 
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