汇市新闻

耶伦角色转变 交易员开始质疑美元上行空间

日期:2015-03-03
  美联储(FED)主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)从外汇交易员的好朋友变成了他们的最大“敌人”。
 一段时间以来,看涨美元是日交易额5.3万亿美元的外汇市场上最受欢迎的交易策略,但在耶伦上个月为美联储很快加息的猜测“泼冷水”后,这个策略令投资者暴露在风险之下。
 随着美元涨势减速,一个货产品回报指数的创纪录涨势戛然而止,促使交易员重新考虑美元的升值空间。
 有分析机构表示,他们跟踪的14家顶尖外汇基金表现指数在2月份下滑0.1%,结束此前连续七个月上涨的态势(为2003年以来最长纪录)。
 因投资者增加美元多头头寸,上述指数在今年1月曾创下三年半高位。
 加拿大皇家银行资本市场驻伦敦外汇策略全球主管表示:“外汇基金经理之前表现一直不错,因为他们看涨美元,而且美元基本保持在持续走高的轨道上。”
 他补充道,美元涨势减弱是造成回报前景不如之前乐观的主要因素。
 尽管彭博美元即期汇率指数周一(3月2日)涨至创纪录新高,但该指数的上涨步伐为去年6月份以来最慢,包括对冲基金在内的投机者正在降低对于美元涨势的押注。
 在美联储1月份会议纪要为美元走强可能对经济造成损害做出注脚几天后,耶伦上周对国会议员表示,她不会受制于加息时间表。
 
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