汇市新闻

法国巴黎银行:美联储最可能在9月份升息

日期:2015-02-23
    FX168讯 法国巴黎银行(BNPP)经济学家周四(2月19日)在报告中称,美联储会议纪要显示其对于剔除“耐心”措辞感到“紧张”。FOMC“对于首次加息相关的综合风险的整体评估更具鸽派色彩,这令“很多人”转向利率会在区间低端维持更长时间的看法。
  美联储(FED)本周发布1月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)纪要,会议纪要显示许多美联储官员倾向于将零利率维持更长时间,对取消“保持耐心”的措辞持谨慎态度。
  这与市场主流观点相悖,因在美国经济持续向好(即便通胀及薪资增速不尽人意)的大好形势下,市场原先认为美联储将朝加息迈进一步。
  FOMC内部针对通胀的观点难以调和,而通胀领域的不确定性显然加重了美联储不愿加息的心态。
  报告称,会议纪要的鸽派倾向和对通胀的强调,再加上疲软的PPI数据,意味着美联储将等到通胀“见底”才会开始加息。
  法巴银行认为,9月份是最可能加息的时点。并认为,美联储主席耶伦下周的国会证词演说可能“保留所有选项,同时强调FOMC对于经济数据的依赖”。
 
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