汇市新闻

印度黄金现实:国内供应少 价高仍会继续买

日期:2015-01-02
    印度是全球第二大黄金消费国,而印度政府对黄金的态度则一直是市场的热点。去年为了控制经常账户赤字,印度政府对黄金进口采取了一系列的限制措施,而今年就在进口持续走高市场预计新一轮限制的同时,印度政府却放松了限制。
  事实上,印度政府对进口的限制是非常低效的,限制没能控制印度民众对黄金的热爱,反而所带来了黄金走私的猖獗。
  在一个对5000名印度人进行的调查中显示,大部分人会继续购买黄金,因此,进口限制难以起到限制黄金需求的作用。
并且印度还是一个黄金需求和供应相差很大的国家。世界黄金协会(WGC)数据认为,印度要做的不是限制黄金进口,而是利用其已经在国内的大量被囤积闲置的黄金。
据调查,印度经济中有超过1万亿美元的黄金,也就是说,大部分印度人的净资产是被投资在黄金中。如果这其中哪怕只有10%被利用起来,也能大大缓解印度的黄金需求问题。
据估计,印度民众持有的黄金大约在7亿盎司左右,价值1万亿美元,而印度的GDP不过1.9万亿美元。10%黄金被使用就意味着增加消费支出,会极大的影响该国的GDP。
因此,印度政府对自由交易黄金的限制事实上是对其经济增长的限制,如果做出改变,将影响深远。
 
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