财经快讯

暴跌之后买家显露疲态 黄金未来几周还要下跌?

日期:2019-03-04
自两周前触及10个月高位之后,黄金一路走低,上周五更是暴跌20美元,失守1300美元关口,创多月新低。
 
暴跌之后买家显露疲态 黄金未来几周还要下跌?(图1)
 
  从技术角度来看,黄金已经跌破去年11月以来的趋势线支撑,这对黄金来讲是一个关键性走势,因为这意味着买家出现“疲软”迹象,而卖家开始掌控市场。
 
  那么,黄金的下一步走势是什么?
 
  分析师Justin Low认为,金价需要回归至趋势线之上,买家才能对黄金出现另一轮反弹有信心。同时,对卖家来讲,黄金跌破1300美元关口后会导致金价进一步下挫,可能回落至1250美元水平。
 
  在1月和2月,黄金的季节性因素在新年期间推高了金价。但三月不一样。
 
暴跌之后买家显露疲态 黄金未来几周还要下跌?(图2)
 
  Justin Low称:“虽然3月不是黄金表现最糟糕的月份,但也不是一个好月份。通常情况下,黄金会在3月份出现下滑。但值得关注的是,这种下滑往往出现在前两个月的大量买盘之后。”
  在今年一度触及1350美元高位时,黄金今年以来涨幅一度高达5%,但这种涨幅几乎在过去两周中完全被抹去。
 
  他认为,由于美元走势仍然保持良好势头,黄金的技术性下跌可能可能会进一步推动美元上涨。这也意味着黄金在未来几周还有下跌的可能性。

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