财经快讯

这一次黄金投资者在加息之前就大举押注金价反弹

日期:2018-03-20

        随着美联储会议临近,黄金一直受到加息预期打压而盘整下跌,但ETF投资者却连续三日增持黄金。全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust 增仓10.62吨,创去年9月3日以来最大增幅,当前持仓量为850.84吨,为5个月以来最高水平。有分析称,投资者似乎将金价近期的回落当做买入机会。
 
  自进入三月以来,黄金价格一直在窄幅波动,整体偏向于下跌,主要是美联储的加息预期限制了黄金的涨势,这和美联储前五次加息前的情况相同。在前五次加息的时候,金价都是先跌后涨。
 
  然而,和前几次不同的是,在此次美联储举行会议之前,ETF投资者就开始大举买入黄金。此前投资者都是在美联储宣布加息之后再买入黄金的。有分析称,投资者似乎将黄金和白银价格的近期回落当做买入机会。
 
  德商行也认为,美联储的决定可能会限制黄金近期的上行潜力,但金价的回落正好是投资者的一个买入机会。
            
  法国兴业银行(601166,股吧)金属分析师Robin Bhar则预计,金价将在美联储会议召开之前下跌,随后反弹。
 
  另一方面,虽然近期金价有所下滑,但跌幅并不是很大,依旧保持在1300关键水平上方,这表明黄金市场仍然存在支撑因素。
             这一次黄金投资者在加息之前就大举押注金价反弹(图1)
BMO称:“随着政治地缘政治风险上升、通胀担忧再度浮现,即使美元走强,黄金投资者也还是能获得收益的。”
 

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