财经快讯

未来数日内金价恐还要大跌

日期:2018-02-28

美联储新任主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在周二的国会首秀中发表鹰派言论,刺激美元大涨,而金价则遭到暴击。值得注意的是,金价周二收盘跌破50日均线,这对后市走势而言是一个重大利空。

在担任美联储主席的第一次国会证词中,鲍威尔表示,由于经济增长前景依然强劲,美联储可以继续渐进式加息,近期的金融波动应不会对美国经济构成压力。

鲍威尔的国会证词提高了美联储今年可能加息四次的概率。FOMC去年12月预期2018年会加息三次。

因鲍威尔讲话刺激美元大涨,现货金遭到重挫。现货金盘中一度跌至1,313.26美元/盎司。

未来数日内金价恐还要大跌(图1)

芝加哥RJO Futures高级市场策略师Phil Streible表示:“疯狂的波动并没有改变美联储政策,他们放心这种波动,所以美元上涨了,并影响到大多数市场,包括黄金。”

金价周二收盘跌破50日均线。根据彭博统计,自2016年5月以来,金价曾经14次跌破这一水平,随后在未来五日内平均下挫1.1%。

在跌破50日均线后,金价有10次下滑,平均跌幅达到1.9%,只有3次是上涨,平均涨幅为1.5%。

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