财经快讯

英银的大日子!花旗重磅前瞻

日期:2018-02-08
该行认为,预计在2月8日的会议上英国央行不太可能会维持鸽派论调。

新的预期可能会显示出经济增长更为强劲,通胀率上升,不过该央行可能维持谨慎,因脱欧充满不确定性。

货币政策委员会的评估可能会导致更低的估计(鸽派),但也会降低潜在的增长(鹰派)。
英银的大日子!花旗重磅前瞻(图1)
我们目前预期将在在8月18日的会议上升息25个基点,在2020年之前每年升息一次。

对央行的供给侧评估做出的鹰派改变可能会促使我们在2019年3月之后上调加息次数预期。

这对市场意味着什么?通胀报告应该足够鹰派来证明最近的抛售是合理的,但不太可能进一步推动通胀。在英国退欧之前,对全面周期的定价仍不太可能。前端利率价格走势可能反映2006-07年的情况,当时市场一次一次地升息。

远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

Trading leveraged financial instruments such as foreign exchange, commodities, indices, and other products is risky. You may lose part or all of your initial investment. This may not be suitable for many investors. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks and consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and preferences. You should carefully manage your risks and seek independent advice if necessary. It is important that you carefully read our Client Agreement and Privacy Policy before deciding to use any of our products.

Disclaimer:

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States, Germany, the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong SAR of PRC and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

Company name:Far East Precious Metal (HK) Limited
Registration number:1409390
注册和营业地址: 10/F Woon Lee Commercial Building, 9 Austin Avenue, Tsim Sha Tsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong