财经快讯

耶伦告别会议恐“鹰声阵阵”

日期:2018-01-31

周四(2月1日)凌晨02:30,美联储将公布2018年的第一次利率决议,而这也是美联储主席耶伦主持召开的最后一次FOMC会议。

美联储主席耶伦
目前利率走势显示,1月份加息概率微乎其微,但3月加息概率达到93%。若美联储更加鹰派,无疑将进一步提升3月加息的概率。因此,市场普遍预计美联储不会在主席耶伦的最后一次会议上加息,但其可能暗示,美国经济正在改善,并就通胀问题发表评论。

尽管本周美联储政策本身没有太大悬念,但投资者需要关注本次会议中是否将释放鹰派信号,如对经济和通胀的看法。

此外,一些投行经济学家指出,FOMC声明可能对经济和通胀做出更加乐观的评估,发出比12月更鹰派的信号。若果真如此,则有望对近期处于困境中的美元起到提振作用,并对金价构成打压。
 
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