财经快讯

黄金这轮上涨得到了白银证实

日期:2018-01-26
分析师Clif Droke此前在黄金的近期展望中一直担忧一个问题,那就是在黄金涨势如虹之际,白银的价格走势却滞后于黄金,这可能给黄金这波上涨带来阻力。

然而,在贵金属于周三集体“爆发”之后,这种担忧已经消失了。因为白银显然跑赢了黄金,加入了这一轮上涨潮,并且还创造了更高的高点。

黄金在本周三表现再度令人惊讶,盘中突破1360美元关口,创下2016年8月以来新高。白银涨幅更是惊人的达到了3%,触及四个月最高水平,最终收于17.57美元。主流的金融媒体称黄金强势上涨主要是因为投资者为了对冲通胀而买入黄金避险。

黄金这轮上涨得到了白银证实(图1)

与此同时,美元指数在周三暴跌至三年多以来最低水平,录的10个月以来最大单日跌幅。此前,美国财长Steven Mnuchin曾表示美元贬值有利于美国贸易。

Clif Droke认为,美元疲软是黄金反弹背后的推动力,但并不是因为通胀威胁或者投资者担忧会发生货币战争。相反,美元疲软主要是因为全球经济的改善,并且美元对外国投资者带来的避险吸引力减退。

由于投资者重拾对全球经济信心,欧元区和其它一些工业化国家经济在改善,欧元等货币走强。这意味着外国投资者对美元的需求减少,从而使得美元价值减弱。这反过来也暗示了黄金未来的走势。

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