财经快讯

欧元区通胀回落宽松箭在弦上 黄金不为所动?

日期:2014-06-04
  周三(6月4日)亚洲时段早盘,现货黄金震荡于1245美元/盎司附近,欧元区通胀率回落巩固了市场对欧银采取宽松的预期,而黄金依旧不为所动。
  欧盟统计局(Eurostat)周二(6月3日)公布初步的数据显示,欧元区5月通胀率意外放缓,加大该地区通缩风险,这巩固了对欧洲央行(ECB)本周将采取行动的预期。
  数据显示,欧元区5月消费物价指数(CPI)初值年率上升0.5%,市场此前预期升幅将维持在4月的0.7%。5月通胀率跌回3月所见的2009年11月以来低点。
  欧元区通胀率已经陷入欧洲央行所称的低于1%的“危险区”,这是经济复苏脆弱的一个迹象。过低的通胀将导致人们消费欲望下降,企业产品积压,这对企业以及社会经济发展不利。
  欧洲央行已经表示,其准备好动用一切可用工具来抵御通缩风险并为经济提供帮助。而此前欧洲央行行长德拉基近期的讲话也显示出了其倾向于采取宽松的态度。
  而黄金则不为所动,继续小幅震荡,多头依然坚守1240美元关口。在上周确认三角形破位之后,黄金就一直处于震荡下行的趋势之中。消息面上和技术面上目前都不利于黄金走高,因此在非农之前即便有反弹,但是也很难改变整体趋势。
  与美国数据不同,欧元区采取宽松对黄金来说福祸难料:QE无疑导致欧元贬值而美元升值,从而打压黄金;而宽松之后流动性泛滥,欧元区的证券化资产规模无法与美国相提并论,资金可能涌入黄金市场,这就可能利多黄金。
  在本周重磅事件来临前,黄金或继续不为所动,而市场依然在观察各个数据以及事件的发酵情况,投资者须冷静应对。
 
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