财经快讯

TDS:若美联储更鸽派 银价上涨或超过金价

日期:2017-07-26
道明证券(TD Securities)认为,伴随着白银市场空头回补反弹,如果美联储变得更加鸽派,白银有潜力超过黄金市场表现。

道明证券分析人士指出,金价已经连续突破了几个关键技术阻力位,但银价仍然低于技术上限。按照历史趋势,白银本应表现的更好一些,但并没有。

道明证券说,“假设即将到来的美联储会议上不会释放出新的鹰派言论,而市场仍然担心围绕美国白宫的政治乱局,并且担心包括医疗法案和债务上限延期等政治功能,经济数据继续低迷,而股票市场存在风险,那么贵金属投资者的投资兴趣会上升。这意味着,随着黄金价格的上涨,白银会因空头回补而表现优异。”

道明证券表示,白银头寸仍然很多的定位在空头上,而空头头寸已经相当超买,而多头头寸仍然每况愈下。从技术上讲,白银仍有很大的上涨空间,现在认为上破100日均线和200日均线,而黄金已经上破。

因此,道明证券认为,在不远的将来,如果白银将达到17美元/盎司甚至17.46美元/盎司也不会感到惊讶。

目前,银价仍然交投于20日均线和50日均线之间,距离100和200日均线切入点17美元附近还有一段距离。周二,现货银价报16.47美元/盎司。
 
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