财经快讯

路透社:印度废钞令可能让黄金需求大幅度减少

日期:2017-01-05
  据路透社报道,汤森路透贵金属分析师Sudheesh Nambiath周三(1月4日)发表观点称,印度废钞令预期会在2017年让黄金需求减少300吨。
 
  Nambiath指出,前几年印度平均黄金月进口为65-70吨,今年2-9月却减半,10-11月受节假日影响回升。
 
  印度过去七年黄金平均年需求为875吨,进口占85-90%。根据GFMS估计,2014年有187吨黄金以非官方渠道流入印度,2015年这个数字减少为142,2016年走私会继续下滑。
 
  Nambiath认为,珠宝商和黄金经纪商以前出售走私黄金收取的是现金,而现在民众现金不充裕了。
 
  Nambiath同时还指出,印度黄金需求大约1/3来自农民,他们大多数购买方式也是现金。
 
  他强调称,去年10月以来印度良好的雨季一直是印度黄金需求反弹的希望所在,不过废钞令让很多农民被迫降价出售粮食。
 
  “在印度的货币风波彻底平息前,黄金需求都无法恢复,”Nambiath强调称。
 
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