财经快讯

机构:2016年G10货币中英镑表现最糟 2017年宜做空

日期:2016-12-30
  周四(12月29日)亚市盘中,英镑兑美元窄幅震荡走高,日图显示整体维持低位震荡势态,现交投于1.2237一线。
 
  据FX678观察,丹麦丹斯克银行(Danske Bank)表示,2016年表现最差的G10货币为英镑,因“英国脱欧”严重冲击汇价。核心观点如下。
 
  英镑并未存在重大下行风险,尽管英国经常帐赤字规模和净国际投资头寸巨大,仍认为“英国脱欧”调整了被低估的英镑,以抵消脱欧公投带来的负面冲击。
 
  汇通网指出,因此该行称,2017年做空英镑,未来三至六个月英国触发《里斯本条约》第五十条时,英镑将承受新的下行压力。
 
  11月市场计价英国持较软化的脱欧立场,且美国和英国关联可能更紧密,已降低了计价于英镑的脱欧风险。近期市场对“英国脱欧”的再计价,将令明年上半年英镑承受新的压力。
 
  汇通财经易汇通行情软件显示,北京时间09:49,英镑兑美元/391.2237。
 
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