财经快讯

金价温和上涨欲探千三,恐仍受加息预期制约

日期:2016-11-11
  周四(11月10日)亚欧时段现货黄金温和上涨,目前交投于1284.51美元/盎司,市场仍存在一定的避险情绪给金价提供支撑,短线有望向1300整数关口发起冲击,但由于美元依然较为强势,股市亦在回暖,美联储12月加息预期居高不下,金价若不能快速收复1300美元整数关口,下行风险将会加大。
 
  亚洲股市周四反弹,美元持坚,从特朗普意外胜选的震惊中大幅回弹,不过市场参与者对于特朗普政策路线缺乏细节仍感到担忧。
 
  INTL FCStone分析师Edward Meir在一篇报告中指出,基于特朗普几乎没有提出什么政策细节来支持整体政见,现在还不清楚他上任会对各种市场有什么影响。
 
  Kaloti Precious Metals总经理Spencer Campbell表示,金市已经测试上档,如果能够回到1300美元上方,当然会更有底气,预期中国将有很多买盘。
 
  金价周三(11月9日)一度大涨近5%,触及1337.55美元,创六周高位,但随着美国市场对特朗普胜选呈现正面反应,金价已有所回落。
 
  汇丰分析师James Steel在一篇报告中称,尽管金价回落,特朗普已公开的政策目标仍有长期不确定性,有可能会促成一波金价涨势。
 
  据美国联邦基金利率期货显示,美联储12月加息的概率为82%;预计美联储官员仍将陆续发表偏鹰派讲话,这将限制金价的上行空间。
 
  综合来看,金价短线仍有机会向1300美元关口发起重启,若能有效突破,则有望延续涨势;但若突破受阻,金价料将重回跌势。
 
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