财经快讯

风雨欲来风满楼 黄金价格酝酿爆发

日期:2016-10-17
  上星期五(10月14日),纽约商品买卖所12月黄金期货收盘跌落2.10美元,或0.2%,报1255.50美元/盎司。上星期金价累计上涨约0.3%。本周金融商场重磅事情聚集,包括美国一系列经济数据、美联储官员说话以及美国总统大选第三轮争辩,黄金能否抓住机遇绝地反击呢?
 
  此前因美国一系列经济数据表现强劲,巩固了美联储将在年末前升息的预期,提振美元走强,施压金价。据彭博最新查询显现,金价在四个月低位上方回旋扭转之际,黄金买卖员及分析师对本周金价持中性情绪。
 
  根据彭博查询,14位黄金买卖员及分析师中,3人看涨(21%),4人看空(29%),7人看平(50%)。因美国零售数据契合商场预期,支撑了年内加息的可能性。美元上星期表现为逾七个月最佳。
 
  现在,金价依旧处于盘整当中,现在商场是按70%的加息概率来进行定价的,跟着美联储加息的接近,美元日趋走强,黄金接受的压力越来越大。
 
  虽然黄金价格周五收跌,但金价在接连两周录得跌落,且在上星期录得三年来最大单周跌幅之后,本周终录得上涨。此外,金价的跌落并未阻挠投资者对黄金买卖所买卖基金(ETF)的增持,即使美联储年末前加息概率上升,黄金ETF持仓依然改写2013年以来最高水平。
 
  自本年6月以来,美联储加息预期现已导致金价大起大落,在6月和7月的时分金价上涨近100元;而在9月和10月期间,金价跌落了近100元。不过,也有组织认为现在黄金跌落是进场做多的最佳时机,黄金正处于筑底期间。

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