财经快讯

金价逼近退欧公投低位 非农前恐难有波澜

日期:2016-10-06
  周四早盘市场整体波澜不惊,周三创下三个半月新低之后,现货金开始进入到低位整固阶段。由于周五还有非农数据公布,因此日内明显波动的概率有限。
 
  隔夜经济数据较多,其中比较引人关注的“小非农”——9月ADP就业人数增加15.4万,为4月以来最低,预期增加16.5万,前值增加17.7万。作为非农的前瞻指标,ADP表现平平或预示着非农也难有太靓丽的结果,这或有助于缓解近期的黄金承压态势。
 
  黄金周二暴跌超40美元,跌幅3.3%,创2015年7月以来最大单日跌幅,自6月以来首次跌破每盎司1,300美元。德银首席全球策略师Binky Chadha认为,这可能是预示着黄金更大跌势的一个前兆。“我们认为金价目前被高估20%-25%”,Chadha在对彭博电视的采访中说道。
 
  Secular Investor公司的投资研究主管Nico Pantelis则表示,当前黄金市场所涌现出的抛售伴随着一定技术性因素,因为当黄金价格跌破1300美元/盎司关口之时,触发大量的止损盘,Pantelis表示,其预计黄金市场的抛压可能将会持续至下一阻力位,即持续到黄金价格触及1250美元/盎司关口之时。
 
  短期来看,如果周五美国公布的9月份非农就业数据强劲,预计金价存在下测1250美元/盎司关口的可能。但如果周五公布的美国非农就业报告疲软,美元可能面临风险,或许令金价“起死回生”。

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