财经快讯

黄金多头打回原形 谨防市场因耶伦唱空

日期:2016-08-22
  水至清则无鱼人至察则无徒,在没有太多消息面和支撑下,市场从始至终都没有太多的作为,国际现货黄金缓慢从8月5日的非农数据中喘过来;非农数据高位1365下跌低位1334附近之后,经历过两周的调整,多头力争上行,从1330有逐步向上收缩振荡空间的趋势,多头止不住的一次又一次的试探高位1357/58位置,说明多空之间的博弈多头还是占据上风,可周五的收取的一根大阴柱使得多头所做的所有努力都化为乌有,行情再次回到1340之前震荡。同时本周寄予了诸多希望的美联储货产品政策会议FOMC也是让市场丈二和尚摸不着头脑,美联储维持利率不变,按照以往的趋势,肯定能破位一方,但是这次让大家失望了,还是没能打破上行走弱的格局,加上本周间失业金又是一个利空金银的走势,最终的结果依旧是以震荡为主,行情始终不得上行破位,多头的反扑意识虽然从未断绝,可重点在于难在巧妇难无米之炊,后续乏力的多头也只好作罢。
 
  在周三美联储会议纪要前,市场上几乎一边倒地认定纪要措辞将呈现鹰派,然而结果却令押注鹰派论调人士失望;而美元试图从三个月低点反弹的企图撞上了南墙。北京时间周四晚间,美联储“三号人物”杜德利将再度发表讲话,在成功担当救“美”英雄之后,投资者将聆听杜德利本周第二次讲话,相比有些过时的会议纪要,最新的言论对于加息前景或许更加具有指导意义,尽管杜德利周二暗示了9月份收紧货产品政策的可能性,但是从7月份政策会议纪要来看,美联储并不急于加息。因美联储政策制定者还没有看到迹象表明,通胀正朝着其2%的目标迈进,从而一再推迟加息,美元今年已贬值超过5%。迟迟未来到的消息面使得黄金的上涨也只能从美元身上找到一点成就感,美联储的不作为使得全球货产品走势颓废,全球央行疲软促进了避险情绪也使得黄金高位徘徊震荡的原始动力。本周周五即将举办杰克逊全球央行会议,届时美联储耶伦老太也将发表讲话,值得我们重点关注的是耶伦老太可能会发表鹰派言论持续发酵而致使空头乏力,市场要就此作为预期可能更多的是偏空,更多资讯可关注笔者公众號陆凯枫,至于其他数据都是每周都有的常规数据,在周五之前,震荡之势可能还会继续持续,陆凯枫认为本周大家做单可以在高位选择空单更为稳妥。
 
  远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

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