财经快讯

大空头改口大举唱多黄金,究竟发生了什么

日期:2016-08-17
  金价近期持稳于1340上方,处于两年来高位。年初至今金价涨了280美元/盎司,涨幅达26%。创下1980年以来最好的半年度表现。
 
  这样的涨幅惊吓到了年初那些看空的分析师们。他们当时纷纷预测,金价将跌破1000美元/盎司。
 
  现在许多黄金上的空头都开始转变观点了。其中就包括许多国际顶级投行,如瑞银预计金价年底将涨至1400美元/盎司,法国外贸银行也持有类似观点。他们此前都是看空黄金的代表。
 
  瑞信和美银美林预计到2017年,金价将突破1500美元/盎司,荷兰银行看涨至1425美元/盎司。
 
  然而,转变最大的要数加拿大皇家银行(RBC),该行大幅上调2017年度金价表现,将其从1300美元/盎司上调至1500美元/盎司。
 
  RBC认为,欧洲地区的政治风险不断恶化,政府债券的负利率使得系统性风险上升,美联储追求鸽派的货产品政策等都持续利好黄金。
 
  RBC建议投资者关注黄金股,因为在金价当前的环境下,现金流增长将持续利好股价。重点关注盈利能力强、资产负债表健康、增长潜力大的公司股票。
 
  RBC认为,新一轮牛市正在路上,任何回调都是买入良机。
 
  就在本月初,RBC还认为黄金将在2016年终结反弹。

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