财经快讯

美联储短期加息难 金银寻求单边突

日期:2016-07-25
  上周对市场影响最大的无疑是欧洲央行利率决,而欧洲央行宣布维持利率不变,符合市场的预期,但央行行长德拉吉暗示,在有必要的时候会采取行动,并对九月份下次政策会议推出刺激措施持开放态度。德拉吉指出,英国脱欧,欧元区经济增长疲弱,或逼使央行采取行动,但决策者需要更多时间作出评估。由于市场憧憬欧洲央行将继续宽松政策,加上美股结束连涨9天走势掉头下滑,金价先抑后扬,现货黄金从3周低位反弹,一度上升触及1333.60美元/盎司,收盘录得逾1%升幅,收复前一个交易日的失地。
 
  本周市场关注重点是周四凌晨的美联储将会公布7月份决议,因美国数据增强,对美国经济的一些悲观预期已经消除,在美联储会议前,投资人将保持谨慎。不过虽然美联储在本周的议息会议上有加息的能力,但加不加息需要考虑到的不仅仅是美国自己国内的经济数据,英国退欧之后,全球的经济都受到了一定的影响,所以肖鑫铭预计美国不会在本周去加息。而如果不加息,金银市场料将会引来一次强力的反抽,不过当前美元在高位不下,黄金能够走多高还是一个未知数,但是可以确定的是,在未来一周金银如果要选择单边波动,波动的方向肯定跟议息会议密切相关,而如果黄金继续维持区间波动,需要关注的区间仍然是1310-1350,不过在数据没有公布之前,显然不要过分的去看单边为宜。
 
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