财经快讯

物极必反?脱欧后时代黄金多头要说“NO”

日期:2016-06-24
  周五(6月24日)亚欧时段现货黄金大幅上涨,一度刷新逾三年高位至1358.32美元/盎司,英国脱欧公投结果公布的过程中,脱欧阵营一直占上风,避险情绪帮助金价一路高歌猛进,不过大涨100美元后,部分多头获利回吐,金价目前回落至1316美元附近,似乎将印证物极必反的铁律,然而这次黄金多头可能要说“NO”。
 
  物极必反?脱欧后时代黄金多头要说“NO”
 
  瑞穗银行(Mizuho Bank)高级经济学家Vishnu Varathan表示,由于英国脱欧被视为极端风险事件,这极大的增加了黄金的吸引力。
 
  周五现货黄金最高触及1358.32美元/盎司,创2014年3月18日以来新高,对于后市,笔者认为金价仍有机会冲高。
 
  一方面,避险情绪会给金价提供支撑。目前黄金已经从英国脱欧公投的投票结果中获利,一些投资者担心这会使得欧洲陷入衰退,全球经济也将面临更多的压力,避险情绪会给黄金提供强劲的支撑。
 
  另一方面,英国脱欧公投必然会对美联储的加息进程有所影响,在欧洲乃至全球经济存在较大的下行风险的背景下,美联储年内加息已成奢望,而且美元指数大涨之后也会存在回调需求,而这些都有利于金价上涨。
 
  物极必反?脱欧后时代黄金多头要说“NO”
 
  从技术面来看,金价大涨突破了前期高点1315美元,该位置较大的可能会转为支撑位,而1300美元整数关口是另一重要支撑位所在,只要金价能守住该位置,金价有望再行上探1350美元关口。
 
  北京时间15:43,现货黄金现报1317.34美元/盎司。

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