财经快讯

金市仍受乌克兰影响 实物需求与ETF将提供支撑

日期:2014-03-24
远东分析师认为今年推动金价的主要是三个因素,其一是受到天气影响的美国经济数据,当然,这并不是一个可以持续的影响因素。另两个因素则是对中国信贷的担忧以及乌克兰的地区争端。
 
就乌克兰局势而言,尽管最终的结果可能是逐渐平静下来,但也完全有升级的可能,这完全取决于俄罗斯和西方各国的对立程度究竟能到什么样的水平。在欧盟和美国仅仅对部分俄罗斯和乌克兰官员冻结资产和签证的行动后,金价就能回升到1340美元/盎司左右。如果俄罗斯行动升级,欧盟和美国的制裁也会升级。俄罗斯不希望自己有一个依靠欧盟和北约的邻国,因此自然会采取行动。因此,西方国家对俄罗斯经济上的行动或许会将事件升级到新的水平。
 
目前来看,东方对实物黄金的需求仍然很强劲,一旦印度政府放宽对黄金的进口限制,可能会有更为大量的实物需求。而去年大幅流出的黄金ETF的形势也在今年有重大变化,SPDR黄金基金今年至今已经增持了18吨,去年相同时段则是流出了足足128吨。
 
去年黄金ETF的大量流出被认为是金价大跌的关键因素之一,因此,今年以来这一趋势的逆转或许也将带来对金价的大影响。
 
远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.
 
 
 

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