财经快讯

黄金真是通胀对冲?专家为何说只值824美元

日期:2016-04-25
  近期虽然黄金市场仍然处在高水平,但市场出现了非常大的波动,这一周欧洲央行利率决议使得贵金属市场出现过山车般的行情。
 
  专家:为什么说黄金其实只值824美元/盎司?
 
  今年一季度黄金市场经历了30年以来表现最好的一个季度。不过某投资分析师认为,黄金的合理价格事实上只是目前金价的三分之二左右,在824美元/盎司。
 
  某投资分析师指出,杜克大学金融教授Campbell Harvey和TCW Group商品投资组合经理Claude Erb研究出了一个名为“黄金困局”的研究,这一研究认为,只有在非常非常长期的时段来看,黄金才算得上是通胀对冲品,而这样的时段,短则几十年,长则几个世纪,根本不是几年时间能够做到的。
 
  欧洲央行调查:欧元区长期通胀预期稳定2018年通胀率预计将升至1.6%
 
  欧洲央行对53家预测机构的调查显示,欧元区通胀率到2018年将升至1.6%,到2020年升到1.8%,与三个月前的预估相符。目前欧元区通胀率为零。
 
  这些预估显示,欧洲央行3月推出的全面刺激措施已成功推高了长期通胀预期,未受油价下跌和基于市场的通胀预估大幅下滑的影响。
 
  远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

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