财经快讯

美加息预期降温 人民产品黄金共“狂欢”

日期:2016-03-31
  昨日,人民产品兑美元中间价为6.4841,较前一交易日上调219点,重返6.48关口。开盘后在岸人民产品兑美元顺势大涨260点,全天涨0.44%,收盘价报6.4780。黄金钱包首席研究员肖磊表示,这主要是受到前日收盘价以及离岸市场人民产品汇率因耶伦讲话大涨的影响,出现走强符合市场预期。数据显示,前日收盘价报6.5115,离岸人民产品在耶伦讲话后突破6.5关口并触及一周高位。
 
  事实上,近期人民产品贬值预期已日渐淡化,明富金融研究所研究员沈杨表示,短期而言人民产品汇率企稳并略有升值是较大概率事件。“首先,美国加息放缓以及美国经济数据时好时坏使得美元走弱;其次,中国管理层维稳汇率的意图较为明显,中国在短期内有能力保持汇率稳定,且工业利润由负转正、前两月地方固定资产投资稳中有升等态势,显现经济近期出现了一些积极的因素,提振了投资者对中国经济的信心。”
 
  不过,业内也担忧,若中国经济面无法明显改善,长期人民产品仍将面临贬值压力。肖磊补充表示,中期来看美联储加息逻辑不会改变,在全球其他货产品处在超低利率的环境下,很难对美元形成中长期优势,人民产品汇率中长期不能预期过高,升值空间非常有限。
 
  昨日与人民产品汇率一样“狂欢”的还有国际金价。数据显示,此前受到美联储加息影响而出现了一波超5%下跌行情的国际金价,在昨日耶伦话音甫落便急速上涨,涨幅超过1%,最高上涨至1240美元上方。截至昨日18时,国际金价报1236美元/盎司。
 
  肖磊表示,黄金虽然短线上涨明显,但这一宽松预期更利好于股市等风险资产,金价短期不能预期过高,整体二季度还是有机会的。“本周有美国非农就业数据发布,对金价的影响可能更明显,本次反弹对短线投资者来说是一个获利了结的机会。”
 
  远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

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