财经快讯

黄金前路漫漫 金价或陷高位震荡

日期:2016-01-07
        上个交易日,金价几度上行触及1080美元/盎司附近阻力位后都被压制回撤,周三(1月6日)金价午后受避险浪潮的推动再次上行触及1080美元/盎司水平,但阻力依然强劲。日内金价触及高点至1082.31美元/盎司,但目前仍退回1080美元/盎司附近徘徊。
  
  瑞银称,尽管还有许多工作需要做,但已有信号表明黄金重新获得避险资产的地位。周一由于沙特伊朗紧张局势,中国制造业数据疲弱及股市大跌,金价飙升。UBS称黄金在周二纽约早盘交易中仍温和上涨,“昨日金价大涨近2%,但在1080美元/盎司位置附近有阻力。现在市场有意愿将金价推高至50日均线的位置1081.22美元/盎司。”
 
  UBS认为,国际黄金需要强化其作为避风港的作用,及作为投资者规避股市风险的对冲工具。黄金要重新获得投资者的信心,仍有许多工作需要做。今年初,在诠释价格表现时也要十分小心,因流动性还很弱。然而,今年开局的表现还是令人鼓舞的。
 
  周三黄金市场将聚焦美国方面的消息:ADP就业数据将成为周五非农报告的“前奏”,而美联储会议纪要或将透露何时再次加息的有用线索。
 
  某经济学家撰文称,因美联储实施了多年以来的首次加息,12月FOMC会议纪要将比以往获得更多的关注。会议纪要或将提供有关下次加息预期时间的有用线索,以及委员会目前的意见统一程度。
 
  若晚间ADP数据表现靓丽以及美联储会议纪要显露鹰派,可能将削弱黄金的避险需求。此外,在目前市场情绪依旧不乐观的状态下,黄金上行路途依旧漫漫无期。 
    
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