财经快讯

依然预计美联储9月加息 但有重大不确定性

日期:2015-08-26
William Lee牵头的花旗(Citi)经济学家周二(8月25日)表示,该行对美联储7月份会议纪要的解读与其他机构不同,称货产品政策决策者更加担心金融稳定性,强化了9月份加息的可能性。
 
近期其他机构最近纷纷因全球局势和中国货产品贬值引发的金融市场动荡而推后了对美联储加息时间的预测。
 
联邦基金利率期货显示,市场预计9月份加息的可能性低于30%,大大低于上周的大约50%。
 
但花旗经济学家团队表示,“美联储副主席Stanley Fischer在杰克逊霍尔货产品政策年会上的讲话将是一个关键不确定因素。如果他表现出担心短期下行压力(大宗商品和能源价格及美元升值)正在传导至工资和国内物价且影响变得更加持久,这可能是大事件。”
 
花旗经济学家团队并表示,“他的担心将说明对通胀在中期内达到美联储目标的信心下降。”
 
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