财经快讯

印度2013-14财年CAD收窄 下调黄金进口税在望

日期:2014-02-03
印度央行(RBI)周二(1月28日)表示,预计2013-2014财年印度的经常帐赤字(CAD)将从GDP的4.8%下降至2.5%以下,意味着印度有望在未来下调黄金进口税。
 
  分项数据显示,2013年一季度印度CAD为GDP的4.9%,二季度下降至GDP的1.2%;2013年上半年CAD均值为GDP的2.6%。
 
  印度央行指出,“本财年的CAD很可能降至GDP的2.5%以下,主要是因为外国直接投资(FDI)和外部商业贷款(ECB)的增加,缓解了近期CAD的膨胀压力。”
 
  2013年4月由于国际金价大跌,印度国内曾燃起空前强势的实物金需求,一度导致该国经常帐赤字大幅走宽。此后印度政府加强了对黄金进口的管制,包括将黄金进口税自4%上调至10%的历史高位,同时强制进口商将20%的进口黄金用作出口用途,印度黄金需求这才有所降温。
 
  2012-13财年印度的经常帐赤字曾触及GDP4.8%的历史高位,共计882亿美元。
 
  印度财长P Chidambaram本周曾表示,“随着印度经常帐赤字逐步的改善,政府可能考虑在2014年3月末放宽一部分的黄金进口限制。”
 
  然而,印度央行警告称,政府必须对CAD保持关注,因为2014-15财年新兴市场及发展中经济体(EMDEs)的资本流动可能较为温和。这意味着未来的外部商业投资可能不会像2013年夏季那样强势,CAD仍有走宽的可能。
 
    远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.

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