财经快讯

本週鮑威爾言論將左右黃金走勢

日期:2021-07-12

周一(7月12日)亚市早盘,现货黄金小幅走低,现报1807美元/盎司附近。本周投资者将迎来美联储主席鲍威尔国会作证,黄金多头期盼鲍威尔再度发表鸽派言论。现货黄金上周五收报1808.11美元/盎司,上涨5.90美元或0.33%,日内最高触及1812.40美元/盎司,最低触及1796.53美元/盎司。上周,现货黄金上涨20.88美元或1.17%。


知名财经网站FXStreet分析师Dhwani Mehta撰文称,金价上周五一度攀升至1812美元/盎司,随后回吐部分涨幅,收盘位于1808美元/盎司水平。Mehta称,金价成功守住关键的短期支撑1796美元/盎司,并且收盘位于这一水平上方,这为金价本周进一步上涨打开道路。Mehta表示,14日相对强弱指数(RSI)也稳步上升至中线,表明趋势可能已转向有利于多头。因此,多头目标瞄准200日均线1828美元/盎司。不过,在此之前,金价需要攻克上周高点1818美元/盎司。下行方面,Mehta称,假如金价出现回落,那么1796美元/盎司可能限制跌幅;一旦失守该位,那么金价可能测试100日均线支撑1790美元/盎司;若金价持续跌破1790美元/盎司,这可能令金价恢复下行趋势,并跌向两个月低点1751美元/盎司。


基本面方面,本周投资者将聚焦于美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在国会的半年度货币政策证词,市场正在寻找缩减购债规模的新线索。分析师表示,鲍威尔将于本周三和周四作证,这将是本周值得关注的事件。他们提及了市场对美联储阐明缩减购债时间表的预期。荷兰国际集团首席国际经济学家James Knightley表示,鉴于经济内部的供应面紧张,政策收紧的可能时机正在提前,鲍威尔可能会给出更明确的暗示,即今年将开始缩减量化宽松资产购买规模。 



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