财经快讯

白銀需求增長勢頭強勁

日期:2021-06-22

 物以稀为贵在市场仍然受用,贵金属被视为价值存储和避险的资产工具,而黄金和白银无疑是目前追逐的焦点。尽管今年贵金属走势普通,但白银迹象看起来很有希望。白银全球工业需求预计将增长11%,高盛分析师更指出,黄金市场将形成溢出效应,而白银占据小市场的优势。

白银协会(Silver Institute)今年早些时候的预测显示,今年全球对白银的需求将增长11%,达到10亿盎司水平位置。而在工业需求方面则将增长9%,达到5.1亿盎司的4年高点,其中电气和电子行业的需求将领先。它还预测汽车、印刷和柔性电子行业的白银需求将大幅增长。

高盛全球大宗商品首席运营官莎拉·基尔南(Sarah Kiernan)也表示,白银需求也受到投资者对实物资产兴趣的推动。她说道:“人们喜欢贵金属,如果你担心通货膨胀或货币贬值,白银是一种价值储存手段,而且它的市场比黄金小得多,只有黄金的1/6,因此黄金会产生溢出效应。”

随着碳中和意识的抬头,投资者对贵金属市场也有着不同的诠释,绿色技术引发市场对白银的兴趣,因全球约10%的白银需求来自太阳能电池板。基尔南补充说:“白银在环境、社会和治理(ESG)领域有真正的用途,尤其是在太阳能电池板中。美国总统拜登政府和中国在未来几年都制定当激进的太阳能增长目标,这只会进一步增加市场对白银的需求。”

在今年早些时候的采访中,高盛大宗商品负责人杰弗里·柯里(Jeffrey Currie)提到说,白银作为太阳能电池板的重要组成部分,使其成为比黄金更好的投资,并且可以从更多的绿色能源支出中受益。白银协会表示,2021年白银价格的前景仍然非常令人鼓舞,预计年均价将上涨46%,至每盎司30美元的7年高位。高盛分析师预测,随着拜登推进可再生能源的发展,价格可能会上涨至每盎司33美元。



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