财经快讯

金价大跌近30美元

日期:2021-06-17

美联储对经济健康状况表示乐观,并暗示可能在2023年前升息,黄金市场承压大幅下跌。美联储表示,由于强有力的政策支持和疫苗方面的进展,经济活动和劳动力市场有所加强。与此同时,美联储继续重申其观点,即通胀上升将是暂时的。


利率决议公布后,现货黄金短线下跌近30美元,接连失守1860、1850和1840美元三道关口,刷新日低至1833.79美元/盎司,日内大跌逾1%;现货白银跌幅扩大至1%,现报27.29美元/盎司。然而,市场关注最多的是利率预期的转变。这些预测(也被称为点阵图)显示,美联储预计2023年的利率将为0.6%,这意味着当年将加息两次。而今年3月份的预测显示,到2023年之前都不会加息。


美联储还乐观地认为,劳动力市场将在2020年遭受新冠病毒大流行的破坏后继续复苏。预计2021年的失业率将降至4.5%,与3月份持平。预计明年的失业率为3.8%,低于此前预计的3.9%。到2023年,失业率预计将下降到3.5%,与之前的估计持平。


剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格后的核心通胀预期今年预计将上涨3.0%,高于此前2.2%的预期。明年,核心通货膨胀预计将有所缓和,增长2.1%,而3月份的预测为2.0%。到2023年,预计通货膨胀率将上升至2.1%,与之前的预期持平。加拿大央行在利率方面也比美联储更强硬。



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