财经快讯

全球经济重启 国际油价上涨

日期:2021-05-28

由于市场对石油供需形势乐观预期回升,国际原油期货价格在隔夜市场上涨,5月24日早盘继续震荡走高,午后窄幅盘整。截至当天收盘,纽约商品交易所7月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨2.47美元,收于每桶66.05美元,涨幅为3.88%;7月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨2.02美元,收于每桶68.46美元,涨幅为3.04%。国际油价上涨预期显著提升,多方面因素提振油价。


伊朗与国际原子能机构就核查工作达成的三个月临时技术协议22日到期后,伊方5月24日决定将该协议延期一个月。市场分析人士认为,此举为美国解除对伊制裁谈判取得进展和达成成果提供机会。同时,市场有能力吸收可能因制裁解除而涌入市场的伊朗石油供应。


高盛集团表示,即便伊朗原油出口可能增加,在国际原油供应缺乏弹性、新冠疫苗接种带动需求大增情况下,油价上涨理由仍然成立。假设伊朗在今年7月开始增加原油出口,布伦特油价预计仍将在今年第四季度达到每桶80美元。


摩根大通表示,美国日前公布4月强劲通胀数据后,预期布伦特油价在今年12月升至每桶100美元上方的期权头寸增加近三倍。不过,摩根大通仍然维持布伦特油价在今年年底为每桶74美元的预测。



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