财经快讯

地缘政治问题将在今年推动金价 而非基本面

日期:2015-02-10
    相关机构称,地缘政治问题以及市场对风险的预期将会在今年推高金价,而不会是基本面起作用。
  相关机构在迪拜的首席执行官称,市场可能会对新出现的欧元危机有所反应,疲软乌克兰局势等,而不仅是美联储的升息等,欧洲的危机将会增加今年黄金的避险需求。
  他说:“在2015年对金价的预期中,我们把基本面放到了旁边,地缘政治问题所带来的风险需求将是推动投资者的主因。”
  他预计今年的平均金价将为1292美元/盎司,最高可至1400美元/盎司的水平。
  尽管今年至今黄金的表现都比较良好,尤其是在一月中,但他认为,金价至今所受到的推动主要来自ETF投资者而非实物投资。
  他说:“印度和中国目前都没有买入。”他表示MKS的加工产能并没有完全满。“但我们预计三月和四月会有所增加。”
  在一月中,印度国内黄金市场曾经持续出现贴水,土耳其国内市场也同样有贴水出现。
  不过在目前国际金价的下跌中,印度国内重新出现了金价升水。
 
 
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