财经快讯

相关银行:预期2015黄金均价1225 金价相对仍高

日期:2015-01-09
  尽管进入2015年以来金价的表现可谓良好,但相关银行的分析师们表示,仍然对黄金看空,并且金价会有更大的下跌。
  该行的报告表示,美国升息、股市和美元表现良好都将在2015年影响金价,预计2015年平均金价为1225美元/盎司。
  “如果以实际价值来看黄金,和收入、实物资产、美国股市等相关,那么金价要跌到差不多905美元/盎司的水平才能回到历史平均水平。这表示,尽管过去一年半金价有了很大修正,但其相对来说仍是比较贵的,高于合理水平。”相关银行认为,美元将是黄金最大的影响因素。
  而由于欧元走弱,且欧元和黄金有正相关的关系,分析师们预计金价甚至能跌至1075美元/盎司的水平。
  分析师们还称,唯一能改变目前预测的就是美国经济恶化的情景,这会阻止美联储升息。
  “然而,产品价格的下跌如果能持续的话,外加美国就业市场的改善,这表明了不太可能有这样的风险。”
  相关银行指出2015年将对金价有支撑的两大因素,首席是欧洲央行、日本央行和中国央行宽松政策可能带来的全球通胀,其次是各国央行的买入。
  另外,该行对金价/银价变小有所预期,这表明银价相对会有较好表现。
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