每日金评

11.30金银早盘

日期:2015-11-30
上周五黄金承接欧洲做空单子,美国开市后,大市缺乏支持,成交薄弱底下急挫并至5年低位。报1058.30,曾一度低见1054.80。直接原因是黄金投资者因应大多数投资者预期美联储加息的信心增加,大家积极将资产转为美元流动资产。
 
    周五黄金下跌大概1%到1056水平,黄金自10月15日后最高价的1190/oz,一口气向下寻底,大致上已经跌去10%以上。银价则交投淡静,开市报14.29,交易区域主要在14.15水位,最后收报14.10,低见13.96。
 
    美国感恩节后,黑色最期五消费月正式开始,由周五开始直至圣诞节,投资者缺乏心思买卖,所以美国股市波幅轻微。但美元反之则表现强劲,美汇指数重上100的心理支点,大多数投资者都应为美元和美元资产将变得更强。欧元因每月重新量化宽松750亿欧元令欧元供应量增加,欧元兑美元下破1.06水平。希腊问题又提出来,欧元财长要求希腊两周内实施13项经济改革措施其中包括金融改革才能获得10亿欧元贷款。投资者请留意欧元走向。欧元量化宽松和希腊问题足以令欧元下挫并令黄金受压。
 
    亚洲方面,日本推出3万亿日元(约240亿美元) 刺激方案,这方案是向老年贫困人士发放现金,设文儿童和养老设施。希望帮助成年人进入劳工市场。这次变相的最终版量化是日本最后一招,日本希望推高通胀和刺激经济,美元兑日元明年将往130方向走,这对黄金价格不利,另一个想法是这令黄金下跌周期缩短。更快寻底。
 
    油价没有因为俄土军机事件上做好,油价在中东产油国和产品组织公开表示不减产所压抑下,不升反跌,而且是急跌3%到41.71/桶。对贵金属而言是利空。相信俄土不会进一步冲突,吵吵还可以,动武在这阶段是几乎无可能。经济战对土耳其无大影响因为从美国和欧盟贸易中轻易恢复。
 
今日策略:
黄金回调上望1067.20再做空目标价位1040,1069止损
银价回调14.28再做空,目标价位 13.91
 
    
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