汇市新闻

新增就业数远不及预期 美联储陷入“两难”

日期:2021-09-06

北京上周五晚,美国劳工部公布了8月最新的非农数据。从数据来看,新增的就业数量远不及预期,而美联储开始缩表的一个重要前提条件就是实现充分的就业,而8月的非农数据给美联储是否会按时缩表打上了问号。


美国劳工部上周五公布的数据显示,美国8月失业率环比下降0.2个百分点至5.2%,但非农业部门新增就业人数仅为23.5万,远不及预期。数据显示,美国8月失业率延续下降趋势,但仍较去年2月份新冠疫情暴发前高1.7个百分点。具体来看,美国8月失业人数降至840万。对此,分析人士认为,美国8月非农新增就业人数远不及预期,显示出人们对变异新冠病毒德尔塔毒株迅速蔓延的担忧。


此前市场普遍预期,美联储会在9月给出提前通知,在11月正式宣布开始缩减购债规模。但8月非农数据公布后市场观点开始转向,几乎一致认为9月宣布概率较小,但今年11月或12月官宣仍有很大概率实现。现在摆在美联储面前的是一道两难的选择题,一方面是通胀水平的持续高企,另一方面是充分就业的难以实现。说完了美联储,我们来聊聊本周有哪些事件值得重点关注。

本周四(9月9日),中国国家统计局将公布8月CPI、PPI数据;中国人民银行也将公布8月新增贷款、M2、社会融资总额等金融数据。与此同时,北京时间周四,美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书,欧洲央行行长拉加德也将召开新闻发布会。此外,本周五周五美国将发布8月PPI,德国发布8月CPI。


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